|
Welcome to Buyer’s Advocate monthly
Newsletter for August 2011
Welcome to August. Let’s talk about the news and questions driving the residential property market and our observations of buyers and sellers behaviour in the current and changing climate. What a dynamic time to stand back and assess! So before the winter blows it’s final cold breath, let’s talk property and look to the warm breeze blowing into the Melbourne spring market.
Please click on any of the following articles you would like to read, or simply scroll down the email to read all.
Our view on the ground
Buyer’s Advocate in the News
Suburb profile of the month – Yarraville
Recent purchases
Tip of the month
You are always welcome to call or visit us at our Hawthorn office to talk with our advocates about all your residential property related questions and goals. Make an appointment to meet us for a free hour of personal and tailored property advice.
OUR VIEW ON THE GROUND
Is now the time to buy?
We are being asked by many people at the moment if now is the right time to buy. There is so much media out there talking down the prospects of the property market, generally. This is causing a lot of buyers to sit on the fence, thinking they can buy better tomorrow.
There is talk about falling auction clearance rates, which direction interest rates are heading in, record supply levels, low level of buyer demand and a spluttering economy. Let’s look at the facts of each of these.
It is true that clearance rates have fallen, however it depends what suburb you are looking at. Many of the suburbs within the 15 km radius of the city have experienced very good clearance rates for the first 6 months of the year. For example Windsor at 80%, Abbotsford 80%, Fitzroy North 78%, Hawthorn 75%, Clifton Hill 75%, Richmond 75%, to name a few. So it is important to consider the sub markets are where the demand exists today and how this is likely to impact on prices tomorrow.
The direction of interest rates is currently debatable. The inflationary pressures are weighing heavily on the likelihood of an interest rate rise. However the global uncertainty and the lack of strength in our retail and building approval sector is signalling a rate cut. A rise will put pressure on the property market while a cut could stimulate it. Given the events over the last week the likelihood is a cut in interest rates. What lies ahead is anyone’s guess!
The record supply levels relate to a stock hangover as properties are taking longer to sell. This captures all properties throughout Melbourne, however there is a lot of stock on the market but very little quality stock. We pursue good property for our client’s interest so we can say demand is high for good property.
The low level of buyer demand is interesting as we have been noticing a greater number of people at open for inspections and very good crowds at auctions, though quite often no bidding. This reflects the uncertainty of buyers. The reverse of this uncertainty is also to be seen at some auctions where 5-6 bidders compete aggressively for a property, much to the surprise of our clients. This is more an indicator that the market is stabilising, where there is good demand for high quality property and less for poor quality.
Then there is the economy. No doubt that a number of businesses are struggling, particularly retailers. However the unemployment rate is still low and we are seeing a lot more upward wage pressures which will improve discretionary spending.
There is also the migration element which is still high and these people need homes to live in.
So in summary no one has a crystal ball. The only advice we would give is that anytime is a good time to buy property - if you buy in the right location for a good price. Sitting back and waiting for the herd could mean you get trampled on or pressured to pay a big price just to get into the market.
Luckily with property there is often an inverse relationship with the strength of the property sale market and rental market. That is, as less people buy property they rent, pushing up the rental yield. As a long term investor this allows you to ride our any bumps along the way.
Right now there are some good buying opportunities and this market would be classified more as buyers than a seller’s market. So if you are considering buying a property, get good advice and you will do well!
|